England is smarting under the defeat by Pakistan and Bangladesh is still upset over their two wickets loss to New Zealand.
Importance
In this format you can't afford to lose two matches in a row as you need to win six out of nine matches to ensure that you are in semifinals. England would hate to lose under the situation.
Pitch
Both the matches here have been low scoring. Sri Lanka reeled against Henry and scored 136 against New Zealand.Whereas Malinga uprooted Afghans by his swinging yorkers.
So it is a pacy wicket and where movement will cause trouble in start of innings.
England
They are good chasers. Woakes and Wood may do damage to top order of Bangladesh. They will wish to chase down the score. Bangladesh has very weak pace attack and their spinners cause damage so Root and Morgan will need to play a controlled innings.
Bangladesh
Tamim is not firing. Saumya has been impressive but throws his wicket after scoring 20-30. Middle order is strong but against seaming conditions, they will be tested. Rahim, Mithun and Mahmoodallah need to fire then only Bangladesh has a chance.
If England posts 300± score then it is beyond the reach. However 250+ can be chased by Bangladesh.
Only if Bangladesh puts up 300± runs then only, they will have a chance to win as their spinners are effective only when you attack them. Every other score can be chased by Englan by rotating strike against spinners.
Verdict
I believe England has enough fire power to scrape through even against some setbacks. So it is a victory for England with the odds of 3-1 in favour.
