India was scrappy in batting Vs South Africa but their bowling was astounding. Australia on the other hand was on the roll by winning last ten ODIs including 3 against India. West Indies exposed their inability to play short balls and lack of incisiveness of other 3 bowlers. The match hangs in balance and let us wait with baited breath for the outcome.
Pitch
This is a batting pitch and both England and Bangladesh have scored 300+ totals at this venue.
Last 2 days it has rained so initially it may swing and cause trouble. Generally this pitch aids slow bowlers and there India holds the edge.
Australia
Australia would like to bat first. Weather the storm of Bumrah and Shami (I hope). Afterwards calculated stroke play may help them in achieving 300± score. Smith, Warner Finch and Khwaja are capable to take score up-to 200+ and them Maxwell,Stoinis and Coulternile can push to score beyond reach of Indians.
Australia will be counting on Starvation and Cummins to take vital breakthroughs.India
They love to chase and they know that besides Starc and Cummins no bowler can trouble them. However, Zampa has tremendous googly and big hits are not welcome against him. India should take confidence from West Indies fight back and belief in chasing bigger score.
India should be worried about their batting
No one looked in touch against South Africa. It was very unlike Rohit innings which made it possible.
Only Pandya was in knock.
So if Australia is held up-to 280 , India will win. Anything over and above It will be Australia except for Daddy hundred of Virat or bltzerkig of Pandya or Dhoni.
Verdict
It is 3-2 in favour of Australia to win.